2009-10-28
Stewart Brand's Nuclear Enthusiasm Falls Short on Facts and Logic. Commentary by Amory Lovins, Grist, October 14, 2009. "I have known Stewart Brand as a friend for many years. I have admired his original and iconoclastic work, which has had significant impact. In his new book, Whole Earth Discipline: an Ecopragmatist Manifesto (Viking), he argues that environmentalists should change their thinking about four issues: population, nuclear power, genetically modified organisms (GMOs), and urbanization. Many people have asked me to assess his 41-page chapter on nuclear power, so I'll do that here, because I believe its conclusions are greatly mistaken.
"Stewart recently predicted that I wouldn't accept his nuclear reassessment. He is quite right. His nuclear chapter's facts and logic do not hold up to scrutiny. Over the past few years, I've sent him five technical papers focused mainly on nuclear power's comparative economics and performance. He says he's read them, and on p. 98 he even summarizes part of their economic thesis. Yet on p. 104 he says, 'We Greens are not economists' and disclaims knowledge of economics, saying environmentalists use it only as a weapon to stop projects. Today, most dispassionate analysts think new nuclear power plants' deepest flaw is their economics. They cost too much to build and incur too much financial risk. My writings [Four Nuclear Myths, PDF, 30 pp] show why nuclear expansion therefore can't deliver on its claims: it would reduce and retard climate protection, because it saves between two and 20 times less carbon per dollar, 20 to 40 times slower, than investing in efficiency and micropower."

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